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Week 11 – NFL Goes International

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Week 11 and the league goes international with a game south of the border. A couple of changes at quarterback and the uncertain future of a head coach. Also, Colin Kaepernick is named GQ magazine’s “Citizen of the Year.” Still no sign of any team wanting to sign him.

Last Week’s Results

Head to Head: 9-4
Against the Spread: 7-4-2

Season to Date

Head to Head: 85-60
Against the Spread: 54-54-21

All odds courtesy of Oddshark.com

Bye week teams: Carolina, Indianapolis, New York Jets, San Francisco

Thursday November 15

Tennessee at Pittsburgh
Line: Steelers by 7

The Titans can pull ahead of the Jags in the AFC South. The Steelers can pretty much put away the AFC North with a victory. On paper this looks like an intriguing matchup. But if you read between the lines, this could be a blood bath.

Smooth’s Pick – Pittsburgh (31-13)

Sunday November 19

LA Rams at Minnesota
Line: Vikings by 2½

Both Case Keenum and Jared Goff are proving naysayers wrong with their outstanding play this season. But have led their teams to 7-2 records. Each team are sporting win streaks. Somethings gotta give.

Smooth’s Pick – Minnesota (24-18)

Washington at New Orleans
Line: Saints by 7½

Tough breaks for the Redskins this season, as they easily could have been 6-3. Instead their 4-5 and have to take on a Saints team that have looked like the team of old when they won the Super Bowl. A win will make it 8 in a row.

Smooth’s Pick – New Orleans (35-14)

Baltimore at Green Bay
Line: Ravens by 2

With the AFC North division title slipping away, the Ravens will have to settle for the wild card. They’ll need to win on the road. The Packers however finally broke through with Brett Huntley at QB. This will be a tough matchup.

This is my upset special!
Smooth’s Pick – Green Bay (23-19)

Detroit at Chicago
Line: Lions by 3
Another division rivalry game between the two. The Bears were playing better despite the two game losing streak. The Lions finally broke into a two game win streak. This is always tough to read. Look for a low scoring matchup.

Smooth’s Pick – Detroit (14-12)

Jacksonville at Cleveland
Line: Jags by 7

A win will give the Jags their first 4 game win streak since 2007. What a better time to do that than with the lowly Browns. The Jags play better on the road and should be able to handle the Browns on the road.

Smooth’s Pick – Jacksonville (27-10)

Arizona at Houston
Line: Cardinals by 1

Houston will need to find a way to get Tom Savage to score some points. He’s been largely ineffective as the Texans have a three game losing streak. The Cardinals have not had too much luck on the road this season. This could be a tug-o-war match.

Smooth’s Pick – Houston (24-21)

Tampa Bay at Miami
Line: Pick ‘em

This is also a re-scheduled game from week 1 because of the hurricane in South Florida. The Bucs got a big win over the Jets thanks to the defense. The Dolphins have had trouble on the road. Thankfully, their at home which should be a slight advantage.

Smooth’s Pick – Miami (26-20)

Kansas City at NY Giants
Line: Chiefs by 10½

Giants co-owner John Mara said he will stay with Ben McAdoo for the rest of the season, putting the team on notice that their jobs are not safe. It’s unknown how fans of Big Blue will react this weekend. With the Chiefs high powered offense coming to town, their might be a revolt.

This is my lock!
Smooth’s Pick – Kansas City (31-13)

Buffalo at LA Chargers
Line: Bolts by 4½

The Bills began the season on a hot streak, only to find them fading away. They were clobbered at home to the Saints. Now they have a cross-country road trip to LA where the Bolts have cooled down after losing two games. They’ve benched Tyrod Taylor for Nathan Peterman

Smooth’s Pick – LA Chargers (33-14)

Cincinnati at Denver
Line: Broncos by 2½

The Broncos have been in a major slump, losing 5 straight and their season in the balance. The Bengals season also is on the line. This will be a good time for one team to turn their season around.

Smooth’s Pick – Denver (20-17)

New England vs. Oakland
Line: Patriots by 6½

This game will be played in Mexico City, where the altitude is higher than in Denver at over 7,200 feet above sea level. For that, throw this line out the window. The team winning the game will be the one rested. The Raiders are coming off a bye week, so that give them an advantage.

Smooth’s Pick – Oakland (26-21)

Philadelphia at Dallas
Line: Eagles by 3½

The Cowboys got spanked last weekend on the road. They’ll need to get back on the ball as the Eagles come to town riding a 7 game win streak. With Ezekiel Elliot out 5 games with a suspension, they look like a different team.

Smooth’s Pick – Philadelphia (24-19)

Monday November 20

Atlanta at Seattle
Line: Seahawks by 3

Both teams off big victories, but for the Seahawks it was a costly one, losing Richard Sherman for the rest of the season. Seattle is deep on defense and should handle the Falcons receivers. This could be the game of the week.

Smooth’s Pick – Seattle (28-16)

With all picks, past performance doesn’t guarantee future results. If you have a gambling problem then please seek help by going to gamblersanonymous.org

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Week 10 – Playoff teams beginning to take shape

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Week 10 and the playoff picture is starting to take shape. We’re not quite there yet, but some teams are beginning to show their dominance half way through the season. It will become a test in late December if they can continue that streak.

Last Week’s Results

Head to Head: 8-5
Against the Spread: 6-5-2

Season to Date

Head to Head: 76-56
Against the Spread: 47-50-19

All odds courtesy of Oddshark.com

Bye Week Teams: Baltimore, Kansas City, Oakland, Philadelphia

Thursday, November 9th

Seattle at Arizona
Line: Seahawks by 5½

Seattle is come off an ugly home loss to Washington. They have to travel to the desert to take on a Cardinals team that is struggling to stay alive in the NFC West. The Seahawks will make it tough for Arizona to win, despite being at home. It will be a close game.

Smooth’s Pick – Seattle (24-21)

Sunday, November 12th

Cincinnati at Tennessee
Line: Titans by 4½

Tennessee goes for their 4th straight win, while the Bengals try to build a new streak. They struggled on the road in Jacksonville. This game won’t be any different. Look for the Titans to open it up in the air.

Smooth’s Pick – Tennessee (26-18)

Cleveland at Detroit
Line: Lions by 12½

The Browns have been hopeless on the road, giving up nearly 30 points to the opposition. The Lions will have a field day verses a weak Cleveland secondary. A win will but the Lions even further in the drivers seat.

This is my lock!
Smooth’s Pick – Detroit (31-14)

Green Bay at Chicago
Line: Bears by 5½

It’s clear that the Packers are just not the same team without Aaron Rodgers. And for the first time in nearly 5 years, the Bears are actually favored against the Green Bay at home. A win and the Bears will be one game below .500.

Smooth’s Pick – Chicago (24-13)

LA Chargers at Jacksonville
Line: Jags by 3½

Fresh off a bye week, the Bolts travel to North Florida to take on a Jags team that is sporting a rare three game win streak. This is a chance for the Jags to take control of the AFC South with a win. But it won’t be easy despite being at home.

Smooth’s Pick – Jacksonville (28-17)

Minnesota at Washington
Line: Vikings by 1

This may be the game of the week. Both teams are evenly matched. However, we just don’t know which Redskins team will show up. We know the Vikings will look to extend their win streak to 6 games. This is another game to watch.

Smooth’s Pick – Minnesota (22-20)

Tampa Bay at NY Jets
Line: Jets by 2½

Gang Green looked good verses Buffalo at home. The challenge now is to win on the road where they have trouble. The Bucs will be without Jameis Winston and they have a familiar face starting, Ryan Fitzpatrick. A chance for the Jets to go to .500.

Smooth’s Pick – NY Jets (23-21)

New Orleans at Buffalo
Line: Saints by 3

This weekend they’re calling for cold weather at New Era Stadium, that doesn’t bode well for the Saints who don’t play well in the elements. The Bills will have to recover from their stinker in the Meadowlands. They had more than enough time to recover.

This is my upset special!
Smooth’s Pick – Buffalo (19-17)

Pittsburgh at Indianapolis
Line: Steelers by 10

The Colts coming off a win on the road against a weakened Houston team helped their chance in the AFC South. It would matter, as the Steelers look to lay the smack down hard.

Smooth’s Pick – Pittsburgh (31-13)

Houston at LA Rams
Line: Rams by 11½

The Rams put up their highest point total of the season against bad Giants team. But they may have some trouble with a stronger Texans defense. The point total may be a bit high, but the Rams should be able to continue their success.

Smooth’s Pick – LA Rams (27-16)

Dallas at Atlanta
Line: Falcons by 2½

The Falcons have been horrible lately, losing four of their last 5 games. This is not the same Super Bowl team we saw last year. The Cowboys pose an interesting obstacle in Atlanta’s plans. Unless they can stop the Cowboys run game, it will be of no use.

Smooth’s Pick – Dallas (27-24)

NY Giants at San Francisco
Line: Giants by 2½

If you heard the AM Sports Beat on Monday, we called on Giants ownership to fire head coach Bob McAdoo. On Wednesday, unnamed sources have confirmed that McAdoo has lost the team’s respect. Sunday will be an indication if that is, in fact, true. The Niners are a weaker opponent, and if the G-Men can’t handle them and win, it just makes our commentary much more real.

Smooth’s Pick – NY Giants (24-23)

New England at Denver
Line: Patriots by 7½

The Patriots come off a bye week to take on a different Broncos team. Denver has struggled losing three in a row. Their once proud defense is in a state of tatters. The Patriots will be licking their chops.

Smooth’s Pick – New England (34-12)

Monday, November 13th

Miami at Carolina
Line: Panthers by 10

The Dolphins were humiliated on the road two weeks ago, getting shut out by Baltimore. They take on another tough defense with the Panthers looking to win their third straight.

Smooth’s Pick – Carolina (26-10)

Now with all of our picks, past performance doesn’t guarantee future results. If you have a gambling problem then please seek help by going to gamblersanonymous.org.

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Week 9 – Trade Deadline!

nfl-trade-deadline-726x400

Week 9 and we could be looking at a couple of blowouts this weekend. The trade deadline has come and gone and there were some significant transactions to position teams down the stretch.

Last Week’s Results

Head to Head: 10-3
Against the Spread: 7-3-3

Season to Date

Head to Head: 68-51
Against the Spread: 41-45-17

All odds courtesy of Oddshark.com

Bye Week Teams: Chicago, Cleveland, LA Chargers, Minnesota, New England, Pittsburgh

Thursday, November 2

Buffalo at NY Jets
Line: Bills by 3

Oddsmakers are saying the Jets will pull off the upset on Thursday night, but the Bills always play the Jets tough on the road. This game will depend on the run game and they way LeSean McCoy is running, they may have the right idea.

Smooth’s Pick – Buffalo (21-19)

Sunday, November 5

LA Rams at NY Giants
Line: Rams by 3½

If the Giants are going to win another game this year, they have to come together. Team suspensions are going to hurt this team badly. And the way the Rams are playing, they could give them another loss.

Smooth’s Pick – LA Rams (25-16)

Atlanta at Carolina
Line: Panthers by 1½

The Panthers have the edge being at home and their strong defense. But the Falcons also were able to get a win over the Jets, but it was more difficult. This is a must win for both teams if they’re going to catch the Saints in the NFC South.

This is my upset special!
Smooth’s Pick – Atlanta (25-21)

Baltimore at Tennessee
Line: Titans by 4

Despite the 40-0 shellacking on Miami, the Ravens seem to play dead when they’re on the road. This is a trap game for them. Tennessee always seem to play better at home. They struggled against a weaker Browns team. Their offense should wake up this weekend.

Smooth’s Pick – Tennessee (24-17)

Cincinnati at Jacksonville
Line: Jags by 4½

Cincinnati’s offense will be put to the test this week against one of the NFL’s best defenses. The Jags are especially good at home. However the Bengals have won 4 in a row on Jacksonville. That streak may come to an end.

Smooth’s Pick – Jacksonville (27-21)

Denver at Philadelphia
Line: Eagles by 8

Philly has come together at the right time, acquiring Jay Ajayi to bolster their run game. On the other side, the Broncos haven’t looked good the last three weeks. It may get worse as they head into Philly for a road game.

This is my lock!
Smooth’s Pick – Philadelphia (31-10)

Indianapolis at Houston
Line: Texans by 7

(Updated 11-3-2017)
The line has gone down on this game, because both teams just suffered season ending setbacks with their starting QB’s.  Andrew Luck won’t be back for the rest of the season for the Colts.  He was put on IR.  The Texans recived some bad news on Thursday as rookie QB Dashaun Watson suffered an ACL and will be out for the rest of the season.  Tom Savage will be the starter this Sunday.  Despite the odds coming down in half, the Texans should be able to handle a weaker Colts team. 

Smooth’s Pick – Houston (31-9)

Tampa Bay at New Orleans
Line: Saints by 7

The Bucs were supposed to get better, but they’ve lost their last 4 games. And now they have to take on a revived Saints team, who have won 5 in a row and look to control the NFC South. This game could get ugly fast.

Smooth’s Pick – New Orleans (35-12)

Arizona at San Francisco
Line: Cardinals by 2½

Despite trading for quarterback Jimmy Garafalo, the Niners are still a bad team on the road to rehab. They at least mortgage their future, but will have to find a way to beat the Cardinals who are also struggling with the QB situation.

Smooth’s Pick – Arizona (25-23)

Washington at Seattle
Line: Seahawks by 7

The Redskins got humiliated at home verses the Eagles and now have to take on another “angry bird”. Injuries with give the “Legion of Boom” a decisive edge at home.

Smooth’s Pick – Seattle (28-17)

Kansas City at Dallas
Line: Pick ‘em

Why? Because both teams are evenly matched. Both have great QB’s, RB’s and WR’s. The both have great defenses. They both have strong offensive lines. But without Ezekiel Elliot for 6 games, they will have to find a way to keep their rushing game sharp.

Smooth’s Pick – Kansas City (21-18)

Oakland at Miami
Line: Raiders by 3

The Raiders Super Bowl dreams need to come together this week, as they’ve lost 5 out of 6. They travel to South Beach, where the Dolphins continue to paste together victories. But their 40-0 slaughter at Baltimore makes them glad of home sweet home.

Smooth’s Pick – Oakland (23-20)

Monday, November 6

Detroit at Green Bay
Line: Lions by 2½

Hard to believe the Lions are favored, but without Aaron Rodgers, the Packers are just mere mortals. They lost two straight, and a tough Lions team will be looking to do something rare at Lambeau Field, win.

Smooth’s Pick – Detroit (21-19)

Now with all of our picks, past performance doesn’t guarantee future results. If you have a gambling problem then please seek help by going to gamblersanonymous.org.

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Week 8 – Halfway Point!

2017-nfl-opponents

Week 8 and some pretty big surprises at the top of the NFL standings. If the season ended today. Your NFC teams would be Philadelphia, Minnesota, New Orleans and the Rams, with the wild cards being Seattle and Green Bay. Your AFC teams would be New England, Pittsburgh, Tennessee and Kansas City, with the wild cards being Buffalo and Miami. But a lot could change in the next 9 weeks. One team could make a playoff run like Baltimore, like Denver, like Cincinnati, Detroit or Atlanta. Get ready for the home stretch.

Last week’s Results

Head to Head: 10-5
Against the Spread: 6-5-4

Season to date

Head to Head: 58-48
Against the Spread: 34-42-14

All odd cortesy of Oddsshark.com

Bye week teams: NY Giants, Arizona, Green Bay, Jacksonville, Los Angeles Rams, Tennessee

Thursday, October 26

Miami at Baltimore
Line: Ravens by 3

It’s hard to tell how the Miami Dolphins would do if they didn’t lose their top quarterback for the season. But they’ve eked out some hard fought victories and will take on a weakened Ravens team. This will be a tough matchup.

Smooth’s Pick – Baltimore (22-16)

Sunday, October 29

Minnesota at Cleveland
Line: Vikings by 9½

This is the third game to be played in London with the Browns being the “home” team. It really doesn’t matter where they play, they’re gonna have a tough time beating a tough Vikings defense.

Smooth’s Pick – Minnesota (31-12)

Altanta at NY Jets
Line: Falcons by 4

The Falcons are on a three game losing streak and they’re going to have a tough time with Jets in the Meadowlands. Look for a close game and a possible upset brewing.

This is my upset special!
Smooth’s Pick – NY Jets (24-21)

Carolina at Tampa Bay
Line: Bucs by 2

Both teams are slumping. But I have to give the edge to the Bucs in this one. They’re a desperate team and need a victory.

Smooth’s Pick – Tampa Bay (23-20)

Chicago at New Orleans
Line: Saints by 9

Head Coach John Fox may have just turned this Bears season around with two big wins. But they travel to the “Big Easy” where wins don’t come that easy in the Superdome. Look for the Bears to come crashing back down to earth.

Smooth’s Pick – New Orleans (27-14)

Indianapolis at Cincinnati
Line: Bengals by 10½

The continued fall of the once mighty Colts continue in Cinncy where the Bengals have a much better chance of winning. Still no signs of life with Andrew Luck, meaning they’ll continue to struggle.

This is my lock!
Smooth’s Pick – Cincinnati (31-10)

LA Chargers at New England
Line: Patriots by 7½

A few years ago this would have been a good matchup. But the Bolts haven’t stepped up. They did get a few final second victories against weaker teams, but Tom Brady and the crew will be licking their chops.

Smooth’s Pick – New England (30-14)

Oakland at Buffalo
Line: Bills by 2½
The Raiders got a big win verses the Chiefs to save their season. Now they’ll have to travel to Western New York where the Bills are looking at ending a five game slide against the Silver and Black.

Smooth’s Pick – Buffalo (28-13)

San Francisco at Philadelphia
Line: Eagles by 13

The Niners continue their slide as they travel to the city of brotherly love, but there won’t be any love for the Niners. It could get ugly fast.

Smooth’s Pick – Philadelphia (42-7)

Houston at Seattle
Line: Seahawks by 5½

The Texans may have found a diamond in DaShaun Watson. They’re at .500 and travel to Century Link Field where it’s hard to win. If this is a low scoring game, the Texans may just pull off the upset.

Smooth’s Pick – Seattle (27-24)

Dallas at Washington
Line: Cowboys by 2

If either of these teams are going to catch Philly, they’re going to have win fast. Unfortunately this matchup favors the Eagles as a process of elimination. Even worse if it ends in a tie. The Redskins with a slight advantage due to home field.

Smooth’s Pick – Dallas (24-21)

Pittsburgh at Detroit
Line: Steelers by 2½

The Steelers and the Lions began playing each other going all the way back in 1934, but the franchises have never met in prime-time. Detroit is riding a two game losing streak, Pittsburgh with a two game win streak.

Smooth’s Pick – Detroit (26-23)

Monday, October 30

Denver at Kansas City
Line: Chiefs by 7

The Broncos are looking worse and worse by the week. Two straight ugly losses and now a match up with division rivals in KC. After 5 straight wins, two losses. They look to get back on the winning track.

Smooth’s Pick – Kansas City (24-17)

Now with all out picks, past performance doesn’t guarantee future results, if you have a gambling problem then please seek help by going to gamblers anonymous.org.

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Week 7 – Surprizes!

Eagles Redskins Football

Lots of big upsets last weekend. Lots of huge upsets last weekend. No one expected the Giants would manhandle the Broncos on the road. Atlanta getting stunned at home by Miami. And the Chargers were able to escape Oakland with another narrow victory. Surprises bound to happen this weekend as well.

Last Week’s Results

Head to Head: 5-9
Against the Spread: 3-9-2

Season to Date

Head to Head: 48-43
Against the Spread: 28-37-10

All odds courtesy of oddsshark.com

Bye Week Teams:

Thursday, October 19

Kansas City at Oakland
Line: Chiefs by 2½

The loss to Pittsburgh should give the Chief more focus and less pressure to be undefeated. They travel to the bay area where The Raiders are in need of a win as they lost 4 straight. An ineffective Derek Carr was the source of problems. He’ll need to be at 100% percent for the silver and black to win.

Smooth’s Pick – Kansas City (22-16)

Sunday October 22

Arizona at LA Rams
Line: Rams by 3½

Cardinals with a big win over Tampa Bay puts them even with the Rams, who are this year’s surprise story. Newly acquired Adrian Peterson will have to be the source of the Cardinals offense. Keep the ball away from the Rams offense and they can win.

Smooth’s Pick – Arizona (17-13)

Baltimore at Minnesota
Line: Vikings by 5½

The Ravens blew a chance to win over the lowly Bears. Now they’ll have to be ready as they travel to the twin cities. The Vikings will have QB Teddy Bridgewater ready in case Sam Bradford isn’t ready to go. Could be a low scoring matchup.

Smooth’s Pick – Minnesota (16-13)

Carolina at Chicago
Line: Panthers by 3½

Carolina lost a tough one at home to Philly last Thursday. The extra couple of days gives them an advantage over the Bears, who won their second game of the season. This one won’t be that easy for the Bears.

This is my lock!
Smooth’s Pick – Carolina (29-16)

Jacksonville at Indianapolis
Line: Jags by 3

This is another crucial game for the Jags. It’s a divisional matchup with the Colts and they need to somehow score a victory. The Colts got hammered by the Titans and they’ll need to hope that somehow Andrew Luck can return.

Smooth’s Pick – Jacksonville (25-17)

NY Jets at Miami
Line: Dolphins by 3½

‘Gang Green’ got screwed out of a victory against the Patriots last weekend and they’ll have to regroup for a trip to south beach. The Dolphins somehow squeezed out a victory against the Falcons. A win could mean a three way tie for the lead.

Smooth’s Pick – Miami (23-18)

New Orleans at Green Bay
Line: Saints by 6

The loss of Aaron Rodgers means the Saints have a great opportunity to steal a victory in Lambeau. However, the Packers will rely on third year back up Brett Hundley to run the ship. It will be a close game, but don’t be surprised if the Pack come out on top.

This is my upset special!
Smooth’s Pick – Green Bay (24-21)

Tampa Bay at Buffalo
Line: Bills by 3

The Bills will try to stay perfect at home as they return from a bye to take on the Bucs. Tampa Bay had a scare having lost Jameis Winston in the loss last weekend, but he should be 100% ready. The Bucs offense need him to stay upright against a tough Bills defense.

Smooth’s Pick – Buffalo (30-16)

Tennessee at Cleveland
Line: Titans by 6½

The Titans travel to Browns stadium to try and snap a two game road losing streak. Marcus Mariotta will be back to start. They may get their chance to win verses a Browns team that has their own problems with winning.

Smooth’s Pick – Tennessee (28-14)

Dallas at San Francisco
Line: Cowboys by 4½

The Cowboys coming off a bye week travel to the bay area. The temporary restraining order lifted in Ezikiel Elliott means good news for the Dallas run game and bad news for the Niners defense.

Smooth’s Pick – Dallas (24-13)

Cincinnati at Pittsburgh
Line: Steelers by 5

The Bengals needed a bye week as they will travel to Pittsburgh. A win by the Steelers will control the AFC North and put a nice cushion between them and the Bengals.

Smooth’s Pick – Pittsburgh (24-10)

Denver at LA Chargers
Line: Bolts by 1½

The Broncos got spanked and humiliated by the Giants. They also lost some key personnel on offense due to injuries. The Bolts pulled off another surprise finish in Oakland last weekend. They could pull another off again.

Smooth’s Pick – LA Chargers (17-16)

Seattle at NY Giants
Line: Seahawks by 6

The G-men finally got a win last weekend. But they will have a tough time getting two in a row verses a tough Seattle defense. However, Russell Wilson and company have been held to 16 points or fewer this season. That gives Big Blue a chance.

Smooth’s Pick – NY Giants (21-19)

Atlanta at New England
Line: Patriots by 3

Last time these two teams met was in the Super Bowl. We all know what happened back then. This is another chance for the Falcons on prime time. However, last weekend they couldn’t hold a lead to Miami. The Patriots have their own set of issues.

Smooth’s Pick – New England (30-24)

Monday October 23

Washington at Philadelphia
Line: Eagles by 4½

The Eagles were not supposed to be contenders, but with a win on Monday night, they could have a commanding lead in the NFC East. They take on the Redskins who had a bye week and look to keep pace with a win.

Smooth’s Pick – Philadelphia (31-21)

Now with all of our picks, past performance doesn’t guarantee future results. If you have a gambling problem then please seek help by going to gamblersanonymous.org.

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Week 6 – Large Point Spread Means Trouble

NFL Football

Week 6 and sports books are beginning make their decisions on who are the top teams. Four games have 10 or more points. That could lead to a false sense of comfort this weekend. Pick wisely.

Week 5 Results

Against the Spread: 6-8
Head to Head: 6-8

Season to Date

Against the Spread: 25-28-8
Head to Head: 43-34

All odd courtesy of oddsshark.com

Bye Week Teams: Buffalo, Cincinnati, Dallas, Seattle

Thursday, October 12

Philadelphia at Carolina
Line: Panthers by 3½

Both teams are 4-1. Both have had some tough wins. I’m leaning towards the Panthers in this one. Although the Eagles could give Cam Newton a run on Thursday night.

Smooth’s Pick – Carolina (27-21)

Sunday, October 15

Chicago at Baltimore
Line: Ravens by 6½

The Bears will go with Mitchell Trubisky for the second straight game. This will be tough to win with that Ravens defense. Look for Joe Flacco to light up the Bears secondary.

Smooth’s Pick – Baltimore (30-16)

Cleveland at Houston
Line: Texans by 10

The Browns just keep on losing and at this point, they may not win a game all season. Their only good news, they won’t have to deal with JJ Watt, who is out for the season. It won’t matter.

Smooth’s Pick – Houston (34-12)

Detroit at New Orleans
Line: Saints by 6

The Lions with a tough loss at home to Carolina. Now, they’ll take on a fresh Saints team who are coming off a bye week. The point spread may be a little generous to New Orleans because of the home field.

This is my upset special!
Smooth’s Pick – Detroit (27-24)

Green Bay at Minnesota
Line: Packers by 3

The Packers coming off a come from behind victory in Dallas travel to Minneapolis for a division matchup against the Vikings who look to get a healthy Sam Bradford back. This could be an interesting matchup. However…

Smooth’s Pick – Green Bay (24-16)

Miami at Atlanta
Line: Falcons by 11½

A humiliating week for the Dolphins. They lose their O-Line coach and now they have to travel to the ATL, where the dirty birds can sense blood. More like vultures.

This is my lock!
Smooth’s Pick – Atlanta (44-13)

New England at NY Jets
Line: Patriots by 9½

A few weeks ago, this would have been my lock pick. And it very well could have been, but the Patriots have stumbled a bit the last two weeks. They’ll get back on track, for sure. But be very careful as the Jets are unpredictable.

Smooth’s Pick – New England (37-17)

San Francisco at Washington
Line: Redskins by 10

It’s safe to say that the Niners won’t get their first win of the season this weekend. In fact, they’ll run into a buzz saw with the Redskins offense. It’s gonna be a tough weekend.

Smooth’s Pick – Washington (33-7)

LA Rams at Jacksonville
Line: Jaguars by 2½

Both teams are 3-2 and weren’t expected to be contenders this season, but they can both make waves with whoever wins this weekend.

Smooth’s Pick – Jacksonville (33-17)

Tampa Bay at Arizona
Line: Bucs by 1½

The Bucs wasted an opportunity to win last Thursday verses New England. Arizona looks to jumpstart their sputtering offense.

Smooth’s Pick – Arizona (20-16)

LA Chargers at Oakland
Line: None

That’s because Derek Carr has said he wants to play this weekend. A bad move if you ask me. One bad hit and he could be out for the season. This will be closer than usual because of the uncertainty.

Smooth’s Pick – Oakland (14-10)

Pittsburgh at Kansas City
Line: Chiefs by 5

The Steelers are still stinging for their shocking loss to Jacksonville at home. No time for crying as they travel to KC to take on the undefeated Chiefs. This could be a chance to break the undefeated streak, but KC is tough at home

Smooth’s Pick – Kansas City (28-19)

NY Giants at Denver
Line: Broncos by 11½

The Giants have turned into “Team Turmoil”, and a lot of the blame goes to head coach Bob McAdoo. They looked flat at home, and they lose three of the top receivers. Now they travel to the “Mile High” city and the Broncos defense looks to continue the pounding.

Smooth’s Pick – Denver (34-19)

Monday, October 16

Indianapolis at Tennessee
Line: None

That’s because both teams have quarterback issues. Indy will have to do without Andrew Luck for another weekend. Matt Cassel will still be the starting QB. The colts have won 11 straight verses the Titans. That streak may end this Monday.

Smooth’s Pick – Tennessee (16-13)

Now with all of our picks, past performance doesn’t guarantee future results. If you have a gambling problem, then please seek help by going to gamblersanonymous.org.

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Week 5 – Back to Business!

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After a week long holiday in France, I am back to do our picks. Let’s take a look at how we fared in the two weeks.

Week 3 Results

Against the Spread: 3-11-2
Head to Head: 5-11

Week 4 Results

Head to Head: 10-6

Season to Date

Against the Spread: 19-20-8
Head to Head: 37-26

All odds courtesy of Oddsshark.com

Bye Week Teams: Atlanta, Denver, New Orleans, Washington

Thursday, October 5th

New England at Tampa Bay
Line: Patriots by 5½

The Patriots came out on the short end of the stick in a home loss to Carolina last weekend. A short week and a road trip to Florida doesn’t help them recover easy. But a lackluster win by the Bucs verses the Giants give the Patriots a chance to make amends.

Smooth’s Pick – New England (34-21)

Sunday, October 8th

Arizona at Philadelphia
Line: Eagles by 6½

Philly has a chance to put a stronghold on the NFC East with a win verses the Cardinals on Sunday. But Arizona’s defense will test the Eagles receivers. The line is pretty generous to Philly, but don’t count the Cards out.

Smooth’s Pick – Arizona (20-17)

Buffalo at Cincinnati
Line: Bengals by 3

The Bills have come alive with three out of four wins to start the season and an unlikely lead in the AFC East. Now comes a big task to take on the Bengals, who finally pulled out a win last weekend. A loss to Cincy would be disappointing considering Buffalo’s last two unlikely wins.

Smooth’s Pick – Buffalo (19-12)

Carolina at Detroit
Line: Lions by 2

The line on this game will go lower, as both teams are 3-1 and coming off big wins. But this game will turn on QB Cam Newton. He’s been inconsistent despite their wins, but he pulled out a big victory in Foxborough verses New England and should be a big test.

Smooth’s Pick – Detroit (21-20)

Jacksonville at Pittsburgh
Line: Steelers by 8½

The Jaguars with a disappointing overtime loss to the Jets last week. Now they have to take on a Steelers team. Jacksonville will be competitive, but their big task will be to stop the Steelers run game. That will be a factor.

Smooth’s Pick – Pittsburgh (27-13)

LA Chargers at NY Giants
Line: Giants by 3½

Both teams are 0-4 so something’s gotta give. The Bolts have nothing to lose with the long road trip and a weak secondary. The Giants have everything to lose if they go 0-5 after this game. Coach Ben McAdoo isn’t on the hot seat yet, but that could change fast.

Smooth’s Pick – NY Giants (29-17)

NY Jets at Cleveland
Line: Pick ‘em

Why? Because both teams are unpredictable. The Browns are still trying to come together, and have lost 19 out of 20 games in two seasons. The Jets have been lucky in both wins, an unlikely 2-2 in the AFC East. A win and they might just turn the corner.

Smooth’s Pick – NY Jets (20-12)

San Francisco at Indianapolis
Line: Colts by 1½

The Niners are still looking for their first win as they travel to Lucas Oil Stadium. The Colts were competitive at Seattle. Then the roof caved in and they got clobbered. This may be a chance for a win, but they could sure use Andrew Luck, who won’t play this weekend.

This is my upset special!
Smooth’s Pick – San Francisco (17-13)

Tennessee at Miami
Line: Titans by 3

Tennessee looks to bounce back from a humiliating loss in Houston last weekend. They may get a break in Miami, where the Dolphins are in a freefall. Jay Cutler is not the answer at QB and their offense has only scored 8.3 points per game this season. Ouch!

This is my lock!
Smooth’s Pick – Tennessee (24-13)

Baltimore at Oakland
Line: Raiders by 2½

The Silver and Black have a crisis on their hands. With Derek Carr out 2 to 6 weeks due to injury, their Super Bowl hopes are on the edge. The Ravens have cooled since the beginning of the season with two ugly losses. This could be a low scoring fight in the trenches.

Smooth’s Pick – Baltimore (12-9)

Seattle at LA Rams
Line: Rams by 1½

This is the first time in 8 years the Rams have been favored over the Seahawks. The Rams are a surprise leader in the NFC West. Seattle finally found their offense, this after struggling for three quarters. A win could put the Rams in the driver’s seat. Who would have thunk it?

Smooth’s Pick – LA Rams (21-16)

Green Bay at Dallas
Line: Cowboys by 2

The Packers go into Dallas looking to keep pace with Detroit in the NFC North. The Cowboys coming off an ugly loss to the Rams and will look to avenge last year’s playoff loss to the Pack. This could be the game of the weekend.

Smooth’s Pick – Green Bay (23-21)

Kansas City at Houston
Line: Chiefs by 1

KC looks to continue their undefeated streak, they’ll have to do it against a pretty good Texans defense. Their run game will be tested. Meanwhile, Deshaun Watson is making a case for NFL Rookie of the Year with two big wins and a tough loss to New England.

Smooth’s Pick – Kansas City (21-16)

Monday, October 9th

Minnesota at Chicago
Line: Vikings by 3

The Bears will be replacing ineffective QB Mike Glennon with their number 1 draft choice, Mitchell Trubisky. The Vikings defense will be looking at fresh meat. However, they have nothing to crow about. Sam Bradford is listed as questionable. If he plays the likelihood of an upset diminishes for the Bears.

Smooth’s Pick – Minnesota (18-10)

Now, with all our picks, past performance doesn’t guarantee future results. If you have a gambling problem, then please seek help by going to gamblersanonymous.org.