Week 4 and the power rankings had a massive shift after a number of upsets last weekend. Miami’s stock rose along with Cleveland after their first victory. Minnesota’s stock plummeted after their disastrous showing at home. San Francisco’s stock has gone down because of a season ending injury to their star QB. Top three teams according to NFL.com are the Rams, the Chiefs and the Eagles. Bottom three teams are Raiders, the Niners and the Cardinals.
Last Week’s Results
Head to Head: 9-7
Against The Spread: 7-7-2
Season to Date
Head to Head: 28-18-2
Against The Spread: 21-18-9
All Odds Courtesy of Oddsshark.com
Bye Week Teams: Carolina, Washington
Thursday, September 27
Minnesota at LA Rams
Line: Rams by 6½
The Vikings were heavy favorites against Buffalo. But somehow the Bills managed to shock Minnesota to a huge upset. Not a good day for Vegas sports books if you had the sure thing. The Vikings travel to Tinseltown, where the Rams look to go 4-0 on the season.
Smooth’s Pick – LA Rams (31-14)
Sunday, September 30
Cincinnati at Atlanta
Line: Falcons by 6
The Bengals struggled against the Carolina defense allowing 2 sacks on Andy Dalton in the loss. Now they much travel to Atlanta, where the Falcons are still stinging off an overtime loss to New Orleans at home. Look for the Falcons to regroup.
Smooth’s Pick – Atlanta (34-21)
Tampa Bay at Chicago
Line: Bears by 3
The wheels fell off the Bucs against a desperate Pittsburgh team, though they did manage a comeback. Now a decision do they go with Ryan Fitzpatrick who has thrown for 400 yards in all three games or do they go with Jameis Winston coming off a three game suspension. Either way, the Bears defense is primed and ready
Smooth’s Pick – Chicago (17-9)
Detroit at Dallas
Line: Cowboys by 3
The Lions got a huge first win for their new coach, Matt Patricia against New England. Now they travel to the Metroplex, where the Cowboys have been inconsistent this early season. Look for the Lions to exploit their weakness.
This is my upset special!
Smooth’s Pick – Detroit (28-13)
Buffalo at Green Bay
Line: Packers by 10
Even though the Bills shocked Minnesota, they’re still a vulnerable team. They get a much more potent offense with the Packers, who look to bounce back from their loss to Washington last Sunday.
Smooth’s Pick – Green Bay (27-12)
Philadelphia at Tennessee
Line: Eagles by 3½
Another ugly win for the Eagles against Indianapolis. They travel to Nashville to take on a Titans team that found a way to win against a tough Jags defense without scoring a touchdown.
Smooth’s Pick – Philadelphia (19-13)
Houston at Indianapolis
Line: Colts by 1
The Texans were outplayed by the Giants last weekend. Now they need to somehow scratch off a victory in Indianapolis against the Colts, who just missed beating Philadelphia. This divisional rivalry will go a long way and each need the victory to keep pace with Jacksonville.
Smooth’s Pick – Indianapolis (24-21)
Miami at New England
Line: Patriots by 6½
The surprise undefeated leaders in the AFC East are the Dolphins. But this is their biggest task as they travel to Foxboro to take on the Patriots, who were manhandled in the motor city and are pissed off enough to take it out on the fish.
Smooth’s Pick – New England (36-14)
NY Jets at Jacksonville
Line: Jags by 7½
The Jags got a tough loss at home to Tennessee, bringing them back down to earth. As for the Jets, they looked weak against a Cleveland team that was hungry for a win. It doesn’t get any easier for Gang Green.
Smooth’s Pick – Jacksonville (19-16)
Cleveland at Oakland
Line: Raiders by 2½
Now that the Browns finally got their first win in two years, it’s time for them to build up momentum. They’ll have to do it in Oakland, where the Raiders need a victory for new head coach Jon Gruden. At 0-3, this could all go south quickly for the silver and black.
Smooth’s Pick – Oakland (21-13)
Seattle at Arizona
Line: Seahawks by 3
The Seahawks got in the win column with a victory over Dallas. They travel to the desert, where the Cardinals will go with Josh Rosen at QB over an ineffective Sam Bradford. It won’t make a difference.
This is my lock!
Smooth’s Pick – Seattle (23-10)
New Orleans at NY Giants
Line: Saints by 3½
The Saints got a big win over Atlanta and moved into a three way tie in the NFC South. They travel to the Meadowlands to take on a heightened Big Blue squad who are coming off a solid victory over Houston. The Giants secondary will be key to winning in this one.
Smooth’s Pick – NY Giants (38-33)
San Francisco at LA Chargers
Line: Bolts by 10½
The Niners got the worst news possible, as they lose their starting QB Jimmy Garoppalo for the season with a torn ACL. The Bolts defense will be licking their chops at whoever is starting.
Smooth’s Pick – LA Chargers (36-12)
Baltimore at Pittsburgh
Line: Steelers by 3
The Steelers needed that win on Monday night in Tampa Bay. Because a loss means having to go into this weekend needing to beat a tough division rival in the Ravens. Even though their at home, this game still is tough.
Smooth’s Pick – Pittsburgh (27-24)
Monday, October 1
Kansas City at Denver
Line: Chiefs by 5
The Chiefs look good…real good! They lead the league in scoring with 118 points already this season. But now they have a challenge, as they go into the “Mile High” city. The Broncos lost their first of the season, but they still will give their division rival a tough go round.
Smooth’s Pick – Denver (26-21)
Now with all our picks, past performance doesn’t guarantee future results. If you have a gambling problem, then please seek help by going to GamblersAnonymous.org.