Week 3 and there’s a log jam in the NFC East, a three way tie between Dallas, Washington and Philadelphia. Minnesota and Green Bay tied their way to the NFC North lead. Who would have thunk a back-up QB would lead Tampa Bay to the top in the NFC South. And the Rams are clearly dominant in the West. Another surprise in the AFC, Miami is on top in the East. Cincinnati and Jacksonville lead their divisions, while Denver and Kansas City are tied in the west at 2-0.
Let’s take a look at how we did last week.
Last Week’s Results
Head to Head: 9-6-1
Against the Spread: 6-6-4
Season to Date
Head to Head: 19-11-2
Against the Spread: 14-11-7
All odds courtesy of Oddsshark.com
Thursday, September 20
NY Jets at Cleveland
Line: Browns by 3
The Browns have come close to winning the last two games having to settle for a tie against Pittsburgh and a crushing loss in New Orleans last Sunday. Gang Green came down to earth at home verses Miami losing in a disappointing effort. Tough matchup goes to the home team and the end of futility.
Smooth’s Pick – Cleveland (26-14)
Sunday, September 23
New Orleans at Atlanta
Line: Falcons by 3
The Saints almost became the Browns victims of ending the winless streak. They travel on the road to take on the Dirty Birds. Atlanta outplayed the Panthers in their win. Now another division rival. Look for a high scoring affair.
Smooth’s Pick – Atlanta (37-31)
Green Bay at Washington
Line: Packers by 3
Green Bay blew their chance to win at home against Minnesota, but the Vikings were able to get a late score and get a tie. The Redskins were smoked by the Colts at home. Now they have to regroup for another big matchup. This game will depend on Aaron Rodgers status with his ailing knee.
Smooth’s Pick – Green Bay (27-21)
Indianapolis at Philadelphia
Line: Eagles by 6
As mentioned, the Colts surprised the Redskins for the win, which is great for a team trying to regroup. They head on the road to play Philly, who were stunned by Tampa Bay. Carson Wentz will get the start this weekend. The change in QB’s should be noticeable.
Smooth’s Pick – Philadelphia (26-20)
Buffalo at Minnesota
Line: Vikings by 16½
The Bills were horrible last weekend, so horrible that one of their players retired after the first half in their loss to the Bolts last weekend. The Vikings rallied to tie Green Bay in their matchup. This should be a cake walk for them.
This is my lock!
Smooth’s Pick – Minnesota (34-12)
Oakland at Miami
Line: Dolphins by 3½
The Raiders missed out on a win on the road in Denver. They’ll have to travel longer with a visit to South Florida. The Dolphins with a big win in the Meadowlands verses the Jets. This should be a harder task for the fish.
Smooth’s Pick – Miami (13-12)
Denver at Baltimore
Line: Ravens by 5
The Broncos snuck out of the “mile high” city a clutch win over the Raiders. They’re looking at tough road trip to Baltimore where the Ravens are still stinging over their sloppy loss verses Cincinnati. This is a tough one for the Ravens to slip up on.
Smooth’s Pick – Baltimore (23-21)
Cincinnati at Carolina
Line: Panthers by 3
The Bengals are flying high at 2-0 and on top of the AFC North. They’ll have to travel Charlotte where the waterlogged city will be drying out from the hurricane. The Panthers come home after a rough loss to Atlanta. Give them the slight edge because of the defense.
Smooth’s Pick – Carolina (20-14)
NY Giants at Houston
Line: Texans by 6
The G-Men are clearly in rebuild mode, and it’s gonna take time for the O-line to jell. That being said, it’s gonna be a tough road trip to Texas and Houston’s formidable defense. The Texans are coming off a tough loss to Tennessee, and it will be interesting to see if they re-group. My guess it they do.
Smooth’s Pick – Houston (21-13)
Tennessee at Jacksonville
Line: Jags by 6½
This is a key divisional game. The Titans were winners verses Houston last weekend. They need to win to stay close to the division leaders to stay in contention. Even though it’s early in the season, every game counts.
Smooth’s Pick – Jacksonville (24-17)
San Francisco at Kansas City
Line: Chiefs by 6
The Niners got themselves a big victory over Detroit in week 2. They head to Kansas City, where the Chiefs scored 6 TD’s in their big win over Pittsburgh. They head home where they are tough and the Niners are gonna have their hands full.
Smooth’s Pick – Kansas City (31-16)
LA Chargers at LA Rams
Line: Rams by 6½
The Bolts had a convincing win in Buffalo. Now they’ll take on the Rams in the first inter-city rivalry game in over 25 years. The Rams destroyed Arizona by a shutout. Something tells me this will be closer than expected. In fact…
This is my upset special!
Smooth’s Pick – LA Chargers (27-24)
Dallas at Seattle
Line: Seahawks by 3
The Cowboys eked out a victory over the Giants in Dallas. They go on the road to take on a bruised Seahawks team that seems to be regressing pretty quickly, as pointed out in their loss to Chicago on Monday night. This is a tough read.
Smooth’s Pick – Seattle (19-14)
Chicago at Arizona
Line: Bears by 4
All of the sudden, the Bears got hot with their defense with their win over Seattle, sacking Russell Wilson 4 times. They head to the desert, where the Cardinals are in a serious emergency. Both games they were atrocious and they need to find a way to win. It won’t happen this weekend.
Smooth’s Pick – Chicago (22-10)
New England at Detroit
Line: Patriots by 6½
This is the first time we’ve seen the Patriots look flat, losing to Jacksonville on the road. They should regroup in the “Motor City”, where they get a look at their former assistant coach, Matt Patricia, who is not having much luck after dropping the first two games.
Smooth’s Pick – New England (30-17)
Monday, September 24
Pittsburgh at Tampa Bay
Line: Steelers by 2½
It’s not looking good for the Steelers, having gone winless in their first two games, they travel to Tampa, where the Bucs actually looked good and are on top of the NFC South. However, this will be a tough task for the Bucs, and I think they’ll come back down to earth.
Smooth’s Pick – Pittsburgh (28-16)
Now with all our picks, past performance doesn’t guarantee future results. If you have a gambling problem, then please seek help by going to GamblersAnonymous.org.
And that’s week three of Smooth’s NFL Football Picks. We’ll see you later!