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Smooth’s NFL Football Divisional Playoff Picks 2018

 

nfl-playoffs-odds-picks-predictions

The Divisional playoffs brings the top two teams of each conference into the mix verses the winners of wildcard weekend.

Last week, we were 3-1 head to head, 2-2 against the spread.

All Odds courtesy of Oddsshark.com

Saturday, January 13

falcons eagles

Atlanta at Philadelphia
Line: Falcons by 3

The Falcons did what they had to do in LA to dominate the Rams and send them packing for the off-season. Now they travel to Philadelphia where the line on this game favors the “Dirty Birds” for one reason. The Eagles offense issues at the end of the season put them with a question mark when QB Carson Wentz was lost for the season due to injury. He threw for 3,200 yards with 33 TD’s, only 7 INT’s and a QB rating of 101.7. By comparison, back up QB Nick Foles has a 79.5 QB rating with 5 TD’s and 2 interceptions in three games. The Eagles were a pass heavy team with Alshon Jeffrey leading the team with 9 TD receptions. On defense, Philly had 38 sacks with defensive end Brandon Graham leading the way with 9 ½ sacks. Patrick Robinson leads the team with 4 interceptions on the year. If the Eagles are going to win this game, they’re going to need to get their offense going. They have the edge slightly on defense, so its gonna have to be all hands on deck. But I give the match-up to the “Dirty Birds”.

Smooth’s Pick – Atlanta (24-21)

titans patriots

Tennessee at New England
Line: Patriots by 13½

The Titans pulled off an incredible comeback against Kansas City last weekend, and now they’ll have to play the same type of game against a tougher opponent in the Patriots. What can you say that hasn’t been said about New England? This team finds ways to win, and in the post season, that’s no exception, except with Eli Manning and the Giants, of course. Tom Brady at the age of 40 is probably better than he’s ever beenin his career, throwing for over 4,500 yards, 32 TD’s and only 8 interceptions. Rob Gronkowski and Brandon Cooks each had over a 1,000 yards receiving for the year. On defense, defensive end Trey Flowers leads the team with 6.5 sacks. The Patriots had 42 sacks overall on the season. Duron Harmon snagged 4 interceptions to lead the team. If you look at this matchup, the Patriots completely dominate the Titans. They have double the offensive total yards, they’ve scored more points than the Titans and they’ve allowed less points on defense. That would make this pick a ‘no-brainer.”

Smooth’s Pick – New England (35-10)

 

Sunday, January 14

jags steelers.jpg

Jacksonville at Pittsburgh
Line: Steelers by 7½

The Steelers begin their quest towards an unprecedented 7th Super Bowl title. They have Ben Rothlisberger who has two of those wins. “Big Ben” threw for 4,200 yards and 28 TD’s, but he also threw 14 interceptions on the year. LeVeon Bell was the primary rusher on the team with nearly 1,300 yards and 9 TD’s. Antonio Brown led the team with 101 receptions on the year, over 1,500 yards and 9 TD’s. The Steelers defense dominated the league with 56 sacks on the year, 12 of those from defensive Cameron Heyward. Sean Davis and Ryan Shazier tied the team with 3 Interceptions, with Shazier out for the season and maybe his career with a spinal injury. The Jags were able to win an ugly game at home against Buffalo last weekend. But their issue now is trying to score points against the Steelers defense. If you look at the offensive comparison between the two teams, the Jags actually have an edge, having scored 26 points to the Steelers 25 points on the year. The Jags have also allowed less points on the year than the Steelers and that gives them a chance. However…

Smooth’s Pick – Pittsburgh (27-20)

saints vikings

New Orleans at Minnesota
Line: Vikings by 4½

The Vikings have a chance to host a Super Bowl in their own house. But in order to do so they need to win the next two games, a not so easy task. Minnesota was able to overcome their QB issues with Case Keenum at the helm of the offense. Keenum has led the team to 13 wins, a franchise record. He threw for over 3,500 yards 22 TD’s and threw only 7 interceptions. Wide receiver Adam Thielen led the team with over 1,200 yards and 4 TD’s. Latavius Murray was the right free agent to take over for Adrian Peterson, rushing for 842 yards and 8 TD’s. The defense of the Vikings has been the story of this season. They lead the league in total yards allowed with only 275 per game and only allowed 15 points per game for the season. Defensive end Everson Griffen leads the team with 13 sacks on the year. Safety Harrison Smith leads the team with 5 interceptions. The Saints will have their hands full. They barely held on at home against Carolina and won. Drew Brees will need to be next to perfect in this game, otherwise it will be a long day for the Saints. Look for the Vikings to dominate this game.

Smooth’s Pick – Minnesota (33-16)

Now with all of our picks, past performance doesn’t guarantee future results. If you have a gambling problem, then please seek help by going to gamblersanonymous.org.

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