Week 3 and we’re starting to see teams begin to see who they really are and not who they pretend to be in the pre-season. Power rankings have the Falcons and Lions rising while the Cowboys and Giants fall out of the top 5. No doubt, there will be more jockeying as the season goes by.
Taking a look at last week’s results,
Against the Spread: 7-4-5
Head to Head: 12-4
Season to Date
Against the Spread: 16-9-6
Head to Head: 22-9
All odds courtesy of Oddsshark.com
Thursday, September 21
LA Rams at San Francisco
Line: Rams by 2
LA had two home games and they looked dominant in game 1 and lethargic in week 2. Now the fun begins as they take on division rival the Niners, who are looking ragged in their first two games. However, this is a chance to get one of the few wins on their season. A low scoring matchup could make it more interesting.
Smooth’s Pick: San Francisco (16-13)
Sunday, September 24th
Baltimore at Jacksonville
Line: Ravens by 3½
This game will be played at Wembley Stadium in London, England. The first of four games this season. The Ravens are a surprise 2-0. Much of it has to do with Joe Flacco coming back from injury just in time for the season. Helps to have a great defense giving up only 10 points this season in two games. The Jaguars had a disappointing loss at home verses Tennessee. Despite being the “home” team, they’re not favorable against an opponent like the Ravens.
Smooth’s Pick: Baltimore (27-14)
NY Giants at Philadelphia
Line: Eagles by 6
What was supposed to be a Super Bowl run has turned into anxiety in Big Blue Nation. Most of the blame goes to the Giants Offensive line who hasn’t protected Eli Manning and opened holes for the running backs. It won’t get any easier for the G-Men as they travel to Philly, where the Eagles have had their number the last four years. But they’re not perfect, either. They squandered an opportunity to go 2-0 at Kansas City. Something tell me I smell an upset brewing.
Smooth’s Pick: NY Giants (20-17)
Houston at New England
Line: Patriots by 13
How the Texans snuck out of Cincinnati on Thursday night with a victory is anyone’s guess. DaShawn Watson will have to be the man for now, as Houston continues its trek into uncertainty. What is certain is the Patriots will be smelling blood. Tom Brady was lights out on the road in New Orleans last weekend. He may run into problems with the Texans defensive line. But he should overcome that discrepancy.
Smooth’s Pick: New England (28-12)
Atlanta at Detroit
Line: Falcons by 3
The Falcons looked outstanding in both of their games and look to go 3-0 on the road in the Motor City. This will be the first major test of the Lions this season, a win at home verse the defending NFC champions, and you could be looking at a possible heir to the throne. If you’re betting on this one stay far away.
Smooth’s Pick: Atlanta (27-24)
Denver at Buffalo
Line: Broncos by 3
This is another one of those “trap” games. The Broncos manhandled Dallas and are 2-0 with both games at home. Now they get a challenge with an upstart Bills defense that have fared well despite a tough 9-3 loss to Carolina. The Bills must put up some offense, or you’re gonna see the same result.
Smooth’s Pick: Denver (18-13)
Pittsburgh at Chicago
Line: Steelers by 7
The Steelers are another 2-0 team they travel to the windy city against a Bears team that may be one of the worst in the NFL. They’ve given up over 25 points in each of their losses. Get ready for a long season of misery Chi-town.
This is my lock pick
Smooth’s Pick: Pittsburgh (31-17)
Miami at NY Jets
Line: Dolphins by 6
Miami snuck out of LA with a close field goal victory in what would considered lackluster. Now they have to head to the Meadowlands to take on a Jets team that have their own set of problems. The Dolphins are 4-1 against Gang Green on the road. Don’t expect anything to change.
Smooth’s Pick: Miami (17-10)
Cleveland at Indianapolis
Line: Pick ‘em
Why? Because both teams have quarterback issues. Andrew Luck still hasn’t been cleared to play and we won’t know when he’ll be back. The need him, the Colts are ranked 29th on offense. For the Browns, Deshown Kizer followed up his great debut against Pittsburgh with a stinker against Baltimore. The Browns have lost their last 14 games on the road. Their last road win came in October, 2015.
Smooth’s Pick: Indianapolis (13-9)
New Orleans at Carolina
Line: Panthers by 6
The Saints are already in trouble dropping two in a row to start the season. Much of it has to do with the poor defense. They’ll have try to avoid a third consecutive 0-3 start in Charlotte. The Panthers had offensive woes in their win verses the lowly Niners last weekend. They may have a sign of life with the Saints coming to town.
Smooth’s Pick: Carolina (24-21)
Tampa Bay at Minnesota
The Bucs played their first game of the season because of Hurricane Irma with a convincing win over the Bears. They travel to Minnesota where Sam Bradford’s status is questionable after leaving the game against Pittsburgh with a knee injury. There’s not enough data for the sports books to read this matchup. But if Bradford does play, we see a win for the Vikings. If not, the Bucs may take it in a close one.
Smooth’s Pick: Tampa Bay (14-13)
Seattle at Tennessee
Line: Titans by 3
Seattle looks to go over .500 for the first time this season with a road win in Nashville. The Seahawks defense is the one holding up the offense, as it scored 9 and 12 points in their first two games. The Titans had a bounce-back game verses Jacksonville on the road. They may have their hands full with the Seattle secondary. Expect another low-scoring affair.
This is my upset special
Smooth’s Pick: Seattle (15-13)
Kansas City at LA Chargers
Line: Chiefs by 3
The Chiefs continue their impressive streak as they look for their eighth win on the road at the Bolts temporary home in Carson, California. The Chargers are fading fast as they lose their first two games. Don’t let the points spread fool you. Despite Philip Rivers, this Bolts team isn’t very good.
Smooth’s Pick: Kansas City (33-16)
Cincinnati at Green Bay
Line: Packers by 8½
Smooth’s Pick: If Marvin Lewis isn’t in trouble now, he sure will be if he loses yet another game. The Bengals looked lethargic in their two games and now they have to take on a tough Packers team looking to break over .500. Aaron Rodgers looks to get over his poor Sunday night showing in Atlanta. Might be a bit tougher with the Bengals, but should have a good game.
Smooth’s Pick: Green Bay (22-13)
Oakland at Washington
Line: Raiders by 3
The Raiders have been road dogs. The final 2-0 team have outscored their opponents 71-36 the last two games. They look to continue their ‘road warrior’ tour in the nation’s capital verses a Redskins team that bounced back in LA. This could be a high scoring matchup that could get exciting down the stretch.
Smooth’s Pick: Oakland (37-31)
Monday, September 25
Dallas at Arizona
Line: Cowboys by 3
Dallas got rocked last Sunday verses the Broncos. They may bounce back verses a depleted and aging Cardinals team. They lost starting running back David Johnson for the season. Carson Palmer is showing his age. I would say the Cowboys, but in 8 games in Glendale, they are 1-7.
Smooth’s Pick: Arizona (26-21)
Now with all our picks, past performance doesn’t guarantee future results. If you have a gambling problem, then please seek help by going to gamblersanonymous.org