Week 2 of Smooth’s NFL Football Picks and last weekend was one of the worst opening weekends in 10 years. Much of it has to do with the boycott of the league for its stance on free agent QB Colin Kaepernick. I’ll have a blog entry on the topic later this weekend. We were pretty good with our picks for week 1.
Last Week’s Results
Against the Spread: 9-5-1
Head to Head: 10-5
All odds courtesy of Oddsshark.com
Thursday, September 14
Houston at Cincinnati
Line: Bengals by 6½
The Texans have a major quarterback problem and they’re gonna need to make a decision on if they want to throw rookie QB Deshaun Watson into the mix earlier than planned or go back to Tom Savage. Watson did lead a scoring drive last weekend. As for the Bengals, they get another chance to push the re-set button on their offense as they were blanked at home. Thursday night’s game favors the tigers on sheer experience.
Smooth’s Pick – Cincinnati (23-10)
Sunday, September 17
Minnesota at Pittsburgh
Line: Steelers by 6
The Vikings looked good in their win at home on Monday. But with less time to recover, they travel to the steel city, where they will take on a team that had a defense that looked a bit flat against a readjusted Browns team. The advantage goes to the well-touted Steelers offense.
Smooth’s Pick – Pittsburgh (27-21)
Arizona at Indianapolis
Line: Cardinals by 7½
Carson Palmer had a day to forget, throwing 4 interceptions in Detroit last Sunday. The Cardinals go to another indoor stadium against a vulnerable Colts team who couldn’t find the end zone in LA. No Andrew Luck means more problems for the Colts and Palmer may be able to adjust.
Smooth’s Pick – Arizona (20-12)
Cleveland at Baltimore
Line: Ravens by 8
The Browns looked better than last year on Sunday and should be able to steal games this season. Unfortunately, this won’t be one of them. The Ravens ripped the Bengals last Sunday, shutting down their offense. They should be able to handle the Browns even more effectively.
Smooth’s Pick – Baltimore (24-16)
Philadelphia at Kansas City
Line: Chiefs by 5
The Eagles put away a tough Redskins offense rather easily. Now they’ll have to take on an even tougher offense in the Chiefs, who picked apart the Patriots on opening night. I like the Chiefs in this one, as they have a much better offense.
Smooth’s Pick – Kansas City (35-21)
Chicago at Tampa Bay
Line: Bucs by 7
Despite the loss, the Bears actually showed some promise, coming from behind to potentially steal a victory from the Falcons last Sunday. But they’ll come back down to reality, as they’ll take on a fresh Bucs team who had an unscheduled extra week off due to Hurricane Irma.
Smooth’s Pick – Tampa Bay (23-16)
Tennessee at Jacksonville
Line: Titans by 2½
The Titans looked rough along the edges against the Raiders last weekend. They travel to North Florida to take on a Jaguars team that is much improved and look to go 2-0 for the first time in a long while. The odds are generous to the Titans.
This is my upset special.
Smooth’s Pick – Jacksonville (22-17)
Buffalo at Carolina
Line: Panthers by 7
The Bills did what they had to do against a weak Jets team last Sunday. Now they’ll get a challenge against a much better defense and a mobile QB in Cam Newton. The Panthers off a shellacking against a weak Niners team. They’ll get a challenge on defense with the Bills.
Smooth’s Pick – Carolina (20-16)
New England at New Orleans
Line: Patriots by 7
The Patriots laid an egg on opening night verses the Chiefs. They travel to the crescent city to take on a weaker defense in the Saints. Drew Brees will have to work his magic and make it a high scoring game to win.
Smooth’s Pick – New England (38-30)
Miami at LA Chargers
Line: Bolts by 4½
The Chargers make their first appearance as LA’s home team in 56 years. Philip Rivers will figure into the offense. The Dolphins will get their first taste of what Jay Cutler can do. As slight favorites, the Bolts will look to start off strong in their temporary home.
Smooth’s Pick – LA Chargers (34-20)
NY Jets at Oakland
Line: Raiders by 14
The Jets with issues on all parts of this team. They travel to the bay area to take on a Raiders team that look to systematically pick apart their weaker opponent. Derrek Carr will have a field day against the weaker Jets secondary and Marshawn Lynch will pound the defensive line.
Smooth’s Pick – Oakland (37-10)
Dallas at Denver
Line: Cowboys by 1½
Though the Cowboys won their game with the Giants on Sunday night, the way they won wasn’t very impressive. They go on the road to the mile high city to take on the Broncos, who almost blew a 24-7 lead to the Chargers if it wasn’t for a last second field goal block. Should be a tough match up.
Smooth’s Pick – Denver (27-24)
Washington at LA Rams
Line: Rams by 3
The Redskins weren’t very impressive at home, getting ripped by the Eagles. They travel coast to coast against a Rams team that dominated the Colts. There are still some holes in the Rams offense and should show this weekend.
Smooth’s Pick – Washington (24-17)
San Francisco at Seattle
Line: Seahawks by 14
It’s gonna be a long season for the Niners, laying an egg against the Panthers at home. And now they have to travel to one of the toughest places to win on the road at Centurylink field. Seattle still hasn’t figured out their offense problems, but may get an easy break this weekend.
This is my lock pick
Smooth’s Pick – Seattle (44-13)
Green Bay at Atlanta
Line: Falcons by 3
This is a rematch of the NFC championship game, and the first game at the new Mercedes-Benz Stadium. The Falcons escaped Chicago with a hard fought victory. This game will be no pushover, with the Packers looking for revenge.
Smooth’s Pick – Atlanta (21-19)
Monday, September 18
Detroit at NY Giants
Line: Giants by 3½
The G-men looking to bounce back from a poor showing in Dallas. They’ll have their home opener and will need to step up the offense. Odell Beckham Jr currently questionable for Sunday. Meanwhile, the Lions took to make it two in a row this season. Matthew Stafford will be tested verses a tougher defense.
Smooth’s Pick – NY Giants (28-17)
Now with all our picks, past performance doesn’t guarantee future results. If you have a gambling problem, then please seek help by going to gamblersanonymous.org.